National Security at a Crossroad
Marek Susta, Stanislav Simbartl

Language: en
Last modified: 2017-03-13


In this short paper the authors describe their evaluation of a national security strategy published by the government of a small Central European country, in terms of its viability, using computer based policy simulation. The computer model was built in a form of management flight simulation to be used for testing various strategic scenarios across all security system components under various funding schemes. Respective strategy scenario success is measured primarily by the so-called Social Distress dynamics that should remain at acceptable levels to maintain in-country order and citizen’s safety, keeping the risk of insurgency low. The secondary purpose of the model is to test the country’s international counterinsurgency commitments fulfillment.


National Security Strategy; Computer Modeling; Systems Thinking; System Dynamics

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